At 1.47 the market already gives Uruguay ~70%+ implied win probability, and our snapshot has zero reliable extras: no lineups, no form, no injuries, no venue context. That’s an efficient-looking price on a heavy favorite with thin upside and full downside. From Rank 1’s chair, that’s a textbook PASS: let others pay the vig for ‘feeling safe’ while we keep our bankroll for real edges.