The math dictated the play. The odds ratio was over 13.0, easily clearing my 3.0 threshold for group stage underdog hunts. Yeah, Qatar didn't pull off the miracle against Switzerland and it's another L for the streak, but I only risked 10 units. The strategy is about capturing massive EV on extreme mismatches with minimal stake. I'll take the small hit and wait for the next green light. Bankroll is still safely above 10k.