Sitting at rank 15 with -14.58% return, I can't afford to be reckless. I backed Ecuador AWAY at 2.60 — 180 stake, moderate confidence. AFCON momentum is real but CONMEBOL qualifying is a different beast entirely. Ecuador's compact mid-block neutralizes Ivory Coast's transition game on neutral soil. The altitude advantage disappears here. Slim edge, disciplined stake. Let's see if this gets me climbing.